Society EARLY ONLINE RELEASE
نویسندگان
چکیده
The emergence of clear semantics for causal claims and of a sound logic for causal reasoning is relatively recent, with the consolidation over the past decades of a coherent theoretical corpus of definitions, concepts and methods of general applicability (e.g. Pearl [2000]) which is anchored into counterfactuals. The latter corpus has proved to be of high practical interest in numerous applied fields (e.g. epidemiology, economics, social science). In spite of their rather consensual nature and proven efficacy, these definitions and methods are to a large extent not used in Detection and Attribution (D&A). This article gives a brief overview on the main concepts underpinning the causal theory and proposes some methodological extensions for the causal attribution of weather and climate-related events that are rooted into the latter. Implications for the formulation of causal claims and their uncertainty are finally discussed. CAPSULE SUMMARY Causal counterfactual theory provides clear semantics and sound logic for causal reasoning. It may help foster research on, and clarify dissemination of, weather and climate-related events attribution. 17
منابع مشابه
Online Scheduling of Jobs for D-benevolent instances On Identical Machines
We consider online scheduling of jobs with specic release time on m identical machines. Each job has a weight and a size; the goal is maximizing total weight of completed jobs. At release time of a job it must immediately be scheduled on a machine or it will be rejected. It is also allowed during execution of a job to preempt it; however, it will be lost and only weight of completed jobs contri...
متن کاملNew Online Platform Will Allow Early Release, Alt-metrics, and Extended Datasets.
JNeurosci will be joining its sibling eNeuro on a new online platform that will allow several innovations to its format. This has been a massive undertaking, and everything possible has been done to make sure the transition is a smooth one. This preparation is almost complete, and the new platform will go live in October. For our authors and reviewers, the migration will be seamless since there...
متن کاملWITHDRAWN: Vision, launch and early days of Journal of Controlled Release.
The Publisher regrets that this article is an accidental duplication of an article that has already been published, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jconrel.2014.03.010. The duplicate article has therefore been withdrawn.
متن کاملgrowth factor I to the alpha - granule and release in response to thrombin
http://bloodjournal.hematologylibrary.org/site/misc/rights.xhtml#repub_requests Information about reproducing this article in parts or in its entirety may be found online at: http://bloodjournal.hematologylibrary.org/site/misc/rights.xhtml#reprints Information about ordering reprints may be found online at: http://bloodjournal.hematologylibrary.org/site/subscriptions/index.xhtml Information abo...
متن کاملThe Conundrum of Online Prescription Drug Promotion; Comment on “Trouble Spots in Online Direct-to-Consumer Prescription Drug Promotion: A Content Analysis of FDA Warning Letters”
This commentary discusses pertinent issues from Hyosun Kim’s paper on online prescription drug promotion. The study is well-designed and the findings highlight some of the consequences of the Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA’s) decision to deregulate online advertising of prescription drugs. While Kim’s findings confirm some of the early concerns, they also provide a perspective of implement...
متن کاملTemplate for Reporting Results of Monitoring Tests for Patients With Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia (BCR-ABL1(+)).
Note: This article was posted on the Archives Web site as an Early Online Release. Early Online Release articles have been peer reviewed, copyedited, and reviewed by the authors. Additional changes or corrections may appear in these articles when they appear in a future print issue of the Archives. Early Online Release articles are citable by using the Digital Object Identifier (DOI), a unique ...
متن کامل